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Joined: 28 Dec 2005 Posts: 11966
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Posted: Fri Dec 09, 2022 5:32 pm Post subject: Next Week Trading (Dec 9th) |
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Next Week Trading (Dec 9th):
The CPI will be reported Tuesday. Given the Fed is behind the curve, inflation should remain high. Consequently, interest rates need to rise more than some expect and a recession is highly likely. So, buying SPY puts into a Santa Claus rally should be profitable. I'm still basically on break from trading. My portfolio is up 415% this year. Compared to prior years, I've had winning and losing streaks, but never had a year this good, although I've hit it big on individual stocks several times in small accounts in the late '90s and early '00s.
My portfolio is about $2,450,000 including $2,448,500 in cash.
Calls Contracts-Shares Long
None
Puts Contracts-Shares Short
None
Portfolio at $100,000 on March 1st, 2018. Portfolio stop loss suspended. Scaled up and adjusted portfolio. Both prior portfolios, since early 2000s, rose initially and substantially, and then failed quickly in “irrational” market “melt-ups," where stocks can go straight up month after month. |
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